The United Arab Emirates is expected to experience rainfall, fog and a drop in temperatures over the coming days, according to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM).

The weather authority said convective clouds are likely to develop from Tuesday afternoon, bringing showers to parts of the country, particularly eastern regions. Humid conditions are also expected to increase the likelihood of fog and mist in some coastal and inland areas.

Monday’s weather is forecast to remain largely fair, although clouds may form over eastern areas. Humidity levels are expected to rise overnight and into Tuesday morning, especially across western coastal and inland regions, creating favourable conditions for fog and mist.

On Tuesday, skies are expected to be fair to partly cloudy, with cloud build-up during the afternoon leading to scattered rainfall in some areas. Similar conditions are forecast for Wednesday, with rain-bearing clouds likely to develop once again over eastern parts of the country.

The NCM said temperatures are expected to fall on Thursday, particularly across western areas of the UAE. Fresh north-westerly winds may also lead to blowing dust in exposed locations.

Sea conditions in the Arabian Gulf are forecast to become moderate to rough at times, especially in western waters. Winds are expected to range between 10kph and 25kph, with gusts reaching up to 40kph in some areas.

Residents are advised to monitor official weather updates as conditions develop throughout the week.

The UAE could experience hotter-than-normal and wetter-than-normal weather in the coming months as El Niño conditions strengthen across the tropical Pacific Ocean, according to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM).

In its latest seasonal outlook, the NCM said there is a 98 per cent probability of El Nino conditions continuing between July and November 2026, with temperatures and rainfall across the UAE expected to range from near-average to above-average levels.

The forecast is based on conditions in the Nino 3.4 region of the tropical Pacific Ocean, a key climate indicator used by meteorologists worldwide. The latest sea surface temperature anomaly in the region is 0.5°C above normal, officially placing it within El Nino territory.

What is El Nino?

El Nino is a natural climate pattern caused by unusually warm ocean temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific. Although it occurs thousands of kilometres away, it can influence weather systems across the globe, including the UAE and other countries in the region.

Historically, El Nino events have been associated with higher temperatures, increased humidity, heavier rainfall in some regions, and more extreme weather patterns worldwide.

What could it mean for the UAE?

While the UAE is not among the regions most severely impacted by El Nino, forecasters say residents could see:

• Higher-than-normal temperatures
• Increased humidity levels
• Greater chances of rainfall compared to seasonal averages
• More variable weather patterns during the second half of the year

The NCM stressed that climate conditions are continuously monitored and forecasts will be updated monthly based on the latest international weather models and observations.

For now, residents should prepare for a potentially hotter and more humid summer as the climate phenomenon strengthens.

Residents across the UAE can expect dusty skies, strong winds and soaring temperatures today as weather conditions become increasingly hot and unsettled.

The National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) has forecast generally fair weather, but warned that strengthening winds could trigger blowing dust and sand in several areas, reducing visibility and creating challenging driving conditions.

Dust and strong winds expected

Light to moderate southwesterly to northwesterly winds are forecast to strengthen throughout the day, reaching speeds of up to 40km/h.

The NCM has advised motorists to drive carefully in dusty conditions and urged residents to keep windows and doors closed to limit dust entering homes and workplaces.

Temperatures near 47°C

Temperatures will remain high across the country, particularly in inland areas where highs are expected to range between 42°C and 47°C.

Forecast highs include:

• Dubai: 39°C
• Abu Dhabi: 40°C
• Sharjah: 41°C
• Al Ain: 44°C
• Fujairah: 44°C
• Ras Al Khaimah: 43°C
• Liwa: 44°C

Rough seas

While conditions in the Oman Sea are expected to remain relatively calm, the Arabian Gulf is forecast to become moderate to rough, with offshore waves reaching up to six feet.

Residents planning beach trips or marine activities, particularly along the western coastline, are advised to monitor conditions and exercise caution.

Warm and windy week

The latest forecast signals the start of a warmer and windier spell across the UAE, with dusty conditions likely to persist in exposed areas as summer temperatures continue to rise.

Authorities are advising residents to stay hydrated, avoid prolonged exposure to direct sunlight during peak afternoon hours and follow official weather updates throughout the week.