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UAE braces for foggy mornings and possible rains this weekend as weather patterns shift

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Residents across the UAE can expect a mix of calm skies, foggy mornings, and potential rainfall over the coming days, as shifting weather systems begin to influence the region.

According to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM), an interaction between a surface low-pressure system from the east, a high-pressure ridge from the west, and an upper-air low is setting the stage for variable conditions.

Today’s weather will remain largely fair to partly cloudy, offering a relatively pleasant break with slightly cooler temperatures. However, as night falls, humidity levels are expected to rise, increasing the likelihood of fog or mist, particularly in inland areas by early Friday morning.

Moving into the weekend, conditions will stay partly cloudy, but mornings may begin with reduced visibility due to persistent fog and mist. Temperatures are also forecast to climb gradually, signalling a return to warmer conditions. By Saturday and Sunday, cloud cover is expected to increase, bringing a chance of light rainfall, especially in coastal and northern regions.

The most noticeable shift is expected on Monday, when light to moderate rain could extend across coastal, northern, and eastern parts of the country. Winds are also likely to pick up, occasionally becoming fresh and causing blowing dust, while sea conditions may turn moderate to rough at times.

For residents, this means staying cautious during early morning commutes due to fog, preparing for occasional dusty conditions, and keeping an eye on the skies as the chances of rain increase.

As the UAE transitions through these changing conditions, the coming days promise a dynamic mix of weather, offering everything from misty mornings to potential showers.

With over 35 years of experience in journalism, copywriting, and PR, Michael Gomes is a seasoned media professional deeply rooted in the UAE’s print and digital landscape.

Weather

UAE weather: Sunny skies and cooler winds to start the week

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Residents across the UAE can expect mostly sunny skies and lighter winds to start the week, as the dusty conditions seen over the weekend gradually ease.

According to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM), Monday’s weather will remain generally fair, with southwesterly winds helping make outdoor conditions more comfortable.

Looking ahead, Tuesday and Wednesday mornings are likely to be humid, with mist formation expected over some northern coastal areas during the early hours.

Temperatures throughout the week are expected to remain in the mid to high 30s across coastal areas, while inland regions could see highs climbing into the low 40s.

By Thursday, dusty conditions are forecast to return as stronger winds trigger blowing dust and sand in some parts of the country, potentially reducing visibility.

The NCM said the current weather pattern is linked to weak surface pressure systems interacting with upper-level high pressure, conditions commonly associated with the transition into early summer.

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UAE weather: Fair skies now, but hot and dusty conditions expected this weekend

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The National Centre of Meteorology has forecast generally fair weather across the UAE, with temperatures set to rise gradually before dusty and windy conditions develop towards the weekend.

General outlook

Conditions today are expected to remain mostly clear, with some cloud formation over eastern areas in the afternoon.

Temperatures will climb to:

  • 40°C to 45°C inland
  • Up to 39°C in coastal areas

Humidity could reach 85% along the coast, particularly during the night and early morning.

Winds will be light to moderate, occasionally fresh, with speeds reaching up to 35 km/h.

What to expect in the coming days

Similar weather patterns are expected to continue, with fair to partly cloudy skies across the country.

Winds will gradually shift direction, from north-westerly to south-easterly, and may strengthen at times, especially over the sea.

Weekend changes ahead

By Friday, temperatures are expected to dip slightly, but wind speeds could increase to around 40 km/h, making sea conditions rougher in the Arabian Gulf.

Heading into the weekend, dusty conditions and blowing sand are likely, particularly in exposed areas, as winds pick up further on Saturday and Sunday.

Sea conditions are forecast to be:

  • Moderate to rough in the Arabian Gulf
  • Slight to moderate in the Oman Sea

According to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM), the conditions are linked to weak surface pressure systems combined with an upper-air high-pressure extension, contributing to rising temperatures and shifting wind patterns.

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UAE weather outlook: It’s going to be a hotter May

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The UAE is entering a weather transition period this May, with temperatures gradually rising as the country moves from spring towards summer, according to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM).

Longer daylight hours and the sun’s northward movement mean warmer conditions across most parts of the country, with average temperatures expected to climb steadily through the month.

While the heat builds, shifting weather systems may still bring occasional cloud cover and slight chances of rain, particularly when influenced by upper-level atmospheric conditions.

Humidity is expected to ease slightly compared to April, especially in the second half of May. However, early morning fog or mist may still occur in some areas during the first half of the month before gradually decreasing.

Hotter days ahead

For residents and expats, May marks the start of hotter days and fewer cool mornings, with weather becoming more stable as summer approaches. It’s also a time when conditions can briefly vary, with occasional clouds or reduced visibility in the mornings.

May weather outlook

  • Average temperature: 30.6°C to 33.6°C
  • Average highs: 37.3°C to 40.7°C
  • Average lows: 24.3°C to 26.8°C
  • Record high: 51.6°C in Sweihan (2025)
  • Record low: 9.0°C in Jebel Jais (2005)
  • Average wind speed: 13 km/h
  • Strongest recorded winds: 117.2 km/h at Jabal Mebreh
  • Average humidity: 39%
  • Fog patterns: More common early in the month, decreasing later
  • Highest recorded rainfall: 134.4 mm in Al Fali (1981)

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