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How hot will Ramadan 2026 be in the UAE? Here’s what the country’s weather bureau says

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The National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) has forecast generally moderate weather conditions across the UAE during Ramadan 2026, which falls in the second half of February and the first half of March.

Moderate days, cooler nights

Daytime temperatures are expected to remain moderate during the first half of Ramadan, with a slight rise anticipated toward the end of the month. Nights will be pleasant overall, turning relatively cool during late-night and early-morning hours, particularly in inland and mountainous areas.

According to climatological data, average maximum temperatures will range between 26°C and 32°C, with some inland areas potentially reaching up to 40°C at midday.

Average minimum temperatures are expected to range between 18°C and 21°C, while certain mountainous and inland locations could see temperatures drop to near or below 0°C in the early morning.

Rainfall outlook

Weather patterns during this period are typically influenced by the Siberian High pressure system, which can occasionally weaken, allowing low-pressure systems to move across the region. If combined with upper-level troughs, these systems may increase cloud formation and bring rainfall.

However, long-term forecasts indicate that rainfall is expected to be around or below the seasonal average of 8mm for the month. For comparison, the highest 24-hour rainfall recorded during this period reached 287.6mm in Al Shuwaib on March 9, 2016.

Fog, humidity and winds

Humidity levels are likely to increase during nighttime and early morning hours, creating favourable conditions for fog and mist in some areas.

  • Average maximum relative humidity: 70–85% (night and early morning)
  • Average minimum relative humidity: 20–35% (daytime)

Winds are expected to be southeasterly during the night and morning, shifting to northwesterly in the afternoon and evening due to land and sea breeze circulation.

The average wind speed is around 13 km/h, though stronger winds may occur with active weather systems, potentially causing blowing dust and sand in exposed areas. The strongest recorded gust during this period reached 141 km/h at Jebel Mebreh on February 27, 2010.

Fasting hours in the UAE

Fasting hours at the start of Ramadan will be approximately 12 hours and 46 minutes, gradually increasing to around 13 hours and 25 minutes by the end of the month, based on Abu Dhabi and surrounding areas. Minor variations may occur depending on location.







With over 35 years of experience in journalism, copywriting, and PR, Michael Gomes is a seasoned media professional deeply rooted in the UAE’s print and digital landscape.

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UAE weather update: What to expect from now through the weekend

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Residents across the UAE can expect a warm and slightly hazy few days ahead, as the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) forecasts fair to partly cloudy skies, rising temperatures, and dusty winds continuing through the weekend.

According to the latest update, Wednesday’s weather will bring light to moderate winds, occasionally picking up and causing blowing dust. Temperatures are set to climb, with highs reaching up to 44°C, a reminder that summer conditions are fast approaching.

For many expats adjusting to seasonal changes in the UAE, this period often signals the shift towards hotter, more indoor-focused routines, whether that’s planning early morning outings or opting for evening gatherings instead.

The NCM attributes the current conditions to weak surface pressure systems combined with an upper-level high-pressure extension, contributing to stable but warmer weather across the country.

Looking ahead to Thursday and Friday, similar conditions are expected, with north-easterly to north-westerly winds reaching speeds of up to 40 km/h. These winds may continue to stir up dust, reducing visibility at times, especially in exposed areas.

Sea conditions will also vary over the coming days. The Arabian Gulf is expected to be slight to moderate, turning rough at times offshore, while the Oman Sea will remain mostly slight, with occasional moderate conditions.

As the weekend approaches, Saturday and Sunday will remain generally fair, though dusty conditions are likely to persist. Sea states will continue to fluctuate, ranging from slight to moderate, with intermittent rough conditions offshore.

For residents planning beach trips or outdoor activities, it may be worth keeping an eye on updates and choosing calmer periods, particularly in the mornings or later evenings.

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UAE weather: Dust, rain and windy conditions as temperatures rise

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The UAE is already seeing a taste of summer, with temperatures climbing to 40°C in April, well above the usual seasonal range.

Typically, April temperatures hover between 32°C and 36°C, making this early spike unusual. But despite the rising heat, summer hasn’t fully arrived yet.

The country is currently in the Sarrayat season, a transitional period between spring and summer. This phase, which runs until early May, is known for sudden weather changes, including brief rain, strong winds, and dust storms.

Residents across the country can expect partly cloudy to cloudy skies on April 21, with dusty conditions at times, according to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM).

There is also a chance of light rain over some coastal areas and islands, along with a slight drop in temperatures, especially in western coastal regions.

Winds will be light to moderate, shifting from southeasterly to northwesterly and northeasterly directions. At times, they may strengthen, reaching speeds of up to 40 km/h, causing dust to blow and reducing visibility in some areas.

Sea conditions will be slight to moderate, becoming rough at times in the Arabian Gulf, particularly toward the west, while remaining slight in the Oman Sea.

City temperatures today:

  • Dubai: High 35°C-Low 26°C
  • Abu Dhabi: High 36°C-Low 26°C
  • Sharjah: High 34°C-Low 22°C

Overall, the UAE continues to experience mixed spring weather, with dust, clouds, and occasional rain ahead of the hotter summer months. For now, the country remains in a transition phase, where heat and rain can occur on the same day, before the full intensity of summer sets in.

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UAE weather alert: Rain, dust, and rising temperature heading our way this week

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Get ready for a bit of everything! The National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) just dropped the latest forecast, and it looks like the UAE is in for a “weather sandwich” starting today through Friday. Whether you’re heading to the office or planning your weekend, here’s the breakdown of what to expect.

The Monday mix: Clouds and cooldowns

We’re kicking the week off with cloudy skies. Keep an eye out for light to moderate rain, especially if you’re along the coast or in the eastern and southern parts of the country. Temperatures are on the rise, and it’s going to get humid tonight. Watch out for mist if you’re driving late.

Tuesday/Wednesday: Dusty and rough

By Tuesday, things stay partly cloudy with a lingering chance of rain in the south. However, the wind is picking up! Expect blowing dust to reduce visibility, and if you’re planning a boat trip, heads up—the sea will get rough by the afternoon.

Wednesday is looking like the peak of the wind. We’re talking stronger gusts that could make driving tricky due to dust, and the Arabian Gulf will be rough to very rough.

Calm Thursday/Friday

Good news for the weekend planners. Things start to calm down by Thursday. While it’ll still be a bit dusty, the skies will clear up to a fair to partly cloudy vibe. Seas will settle back to moderate, making for a much smoother end to the week.

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