The UAE is set for more unsettled summer weather over the coming days, with afternoon rain expected in parts of the country even as temperatures continue to climb above 40°C.
According to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM), convective clouds are forecast to develop daily from Friday through Monday, August 3, bringing a chance of showers, particularly over eastern and southern areas of the UAE.
Where is rain expected?
The highest chance of rainfall is expected across eastern and southern parts of the country, including areas around Fujairah, the east coast of Sharjah and parts of Abu Dhabi’s interior. Elsewhere, skies will remain fair to partly cloudy.
The weather is being driven by a surface low-pressure system extending from the east, supported by an upper-air low-pressure system that is creating favourable conditions for cloud formation.
Hot days, stormy afternoons
Despite the rain forecast, temperatures will remain high:
- Inland: 43°C to 48°C
- Coastal areas: 38°C to 44°C
- Mountains: 30°C to 38°C
Winds will be light to moderate but could strengthen to 45km/h at times, especially around developing storm clouds, raising dust and reducing visibility in exposed areas.
Sea conditions are expected to remain slight in both the Arabian Gulf and the Sea of Oman.
Day-by-day forecast
- Friday: Afternoon clouds over eastern and southern regions with a chance of rain. Winds up to 40km/h.
- Saturday: Fair to partly cloudy with afternoon showers possible in the east and south.
- Sunday: Similar conditions, with another chance of convective rain in eastern and southern areas.
- Monday: Unsettled weather continues, with rain possible and stronger winds likely to kick up dust.
El Nino expected to strengthen
The wet spell comes as the NCM says there is a 98% probability of moderate El Nino conditions persisting between July and November 2026.
Looking ahead, the NCM expects both temperatures and rainfall across the UAE to remain near to above seasonal averages through the second half of the year.