The National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) has forecast generally moderate weather conditions across the UAE during Ramadan 2026, which falls in the second half of February and the first half of March.
Moderate days, cooler nights
Daytime temperatures are expected to remain moderate during the first half of Ramadan, with a slight rise anticipated toward the end of the month. Nights will be pleasant overall, turning relatively cool during late-night and early-morning hours, particularly in inland and mountainous areas.
According to climatological data, average maximum temperatures will range between 26°C and 32°C, with some inland areas potentially reaching up to 40°C at midday.
Average minimum temperatures are expected to range between 18°C and 21°C, while certain mountainous and inland locations could see temperatures drop to near or below 0°C in the early morning.
Rainfall outlook
Weather patterns during this period are typically influenced by the Siberian High pressure system, which can occasionally weaken, allowing low-pressure systems to move across the region. If combined with upper-level troughs, these systems may increase cloud formation and bring rainfall.
However, long-term forecasts indicate that rainfall is expected to be around or below the seasonal average of 8mm for the month. For comparison, the highest 24-hour rainfall recorded during this period reached 287.6mm in Al Shuwaib on March 9, 2016.
Fog, humidity and winds
Humidity levels are likely to increase during nighttime and early morning hours, creating favourable conditions for fog and mist in some areas.
- Average maximum relative humidity: 70–85% (night and early morning)
- Average minimum relative humidity: 20–35% (daytime)
Winds are expected to be southeasterly during the night and morning, shifting to northwesterly in the afternoon and evening due to land and sea breeze circulation.
The average wind speed is around 13 km/h, though stronger winds may occur with active weather systems, potentially causing blowing dust and sand in exposed areas. The strongest recorded gust during this period reached 141 km/h at Jebel Mebreh on February 27, 2010.
Fasting hours in the UAE
Fasting hours at the start of Ramadan will be approximately 12 hours and 46 minutes, gradually increasing to around 13 hours and 25 minutes by the end of the month, based on Abu Dhabi and surrounding areas. Minor variations may occur depending on location.
